“We Need To Stop Listening To These People” - Douglas Murray (4K)

The video is about Douglas Murray discussing his thoughts on the current state of the world and his predictive abilities. He believes that people should approach predictions with humility, as things can happen that are unexpected. He also discusses the idea of demographics being destiny and how it can be predicted with ease. He mentions the Victoria's Secret controversy over their new strategy of using hot women to model their underwear and how it makes commercial sense. He also talks about the body positivity movement and how it can go wrong when it celebrates morbidly obese individuals.

This video by Chris Williamson was published on Nov 13, 2023.
Video length: 02:00:23.

In this video, Chris Williamson discusses the topic of predictive ability and the limitations of human foresight.

He argues that no one can predict with 100% accuracy, and that things often happen that are unexpected. He also talks about the idea of "demographics is destiny" and how it is one of the things that can be predicted with ease. Williamson also discusses the topic of body positivity and the idea that it is not always appropriate to celebrate morbidly obese individuals. He argues that there is a line that should be drawn, and that it is important to have healthy-looking women on ads.

Overall, Williamson's message is that while it is important to be empathetic and understanding, it is also important to have boundaries and to recognize the limitations of human foresight.

• Douglas Murray believes that people should approach predictions with humility.
• Predictive accuracy is not 100% and things can happen that are unexpected.
• Murray believes that demographics can be predicted with ease.
• He believes that the transformation of a country's identity due to demographic change is a predictable outcome.
• Murray believes that the Victoria's Secret controversy over their new strategy of using hot women to model their underwear is a commercial decision that makes sense.
• Murray believes that the body positivity movement can go wrong when it celebrates morbidly obese individuals.
• He believes that there is a place where the body positivity movement should not occur.
• Murray believes that the body positivity movement should not celebrate individuals who are at significant risk of heart failure due to their weight.
• He believes that the body positivity movement should focus on healthy-looking women in ads.

“We Need To Stop Listening To These People” - Douglas Murray (4K) - YouTube

Predictive Ability

• Douglas Murray believes that people should approach predictions with humility.
• Predictive accuracy is not 100% and things can happen that are unexpected.
• Murray believes that demographics can be predicted with ease.
• He believes that the transformation of a country's identity due to demographic change is a predictable outcome.
• Murray believes that the Victoria's Secret controversy over their new strategy of using hot women to model their underwear is a commercial decision that makes sense.

Body Positivity Movement

• Murray believes that the body positivity movement can go wrong when it celebrates morbidly obese individuals.
• He believes that there is a place where the body positivity movement should not occur.
• Murray believes that the body positivity movement should not celebrate individuals who are at significant risk of heart failure due to their weight.
• He believes that the body positivity movement should focus on healthy-looking women in ads.
• Murray believes that the body positivity movement should draw the line at morbidly obese individuals.

Victoria's Secret Controversy

• Victoria's Secret has made the controversial decision to switch their strategy and start using hot women to model their underwear again.
• Advertising executives find it complex to predict the success of this strategy.
• Murray believes that the decision to switch to hot women to model their underwear makes commercial sense.
• He believes that the decision to switch to hot women to model their underwear is not surprising.
• Murray believes that the decision to switch to hot women to model their underwear is a predictable outcome.

“We Need To Stop Listening To These People” - Douglas Murray (4K) - YouTube

Demographics and Destiny

• Murray believes that demographics can be predicted with ease.
• He believes that demographics are destiny.
• Murray believes that the transformation of a country's identity due to demographic change is a predictable outcome.
• He believes that the demographic changes in the west due to migration are leading to the transformation of a country's identity.
• Murray believes that the demographic changes in the west due to migration are leading to the transformation of a country's culture.

Section 1: Short-term Empathy

• The speaker discusses the concept of short-term empathy, which is the ability to understand and relate to someone's immediate needs or desires.
• Examples given include giving a child ice cream, which may not be the best for their long-term health but is seen as a good gesture in the short term.
• The speaker notes that there is no countervailing force in society to balance short-term empathy with long-term considerations, which can lead to negative outcomes.
• The speaker suggests that people are on the defensive when it comes to owning an ice cream truck, as it is seen as uncool or not in line with societal norms.
• The speaker notes that there is room for people to be in the space of short-term empathy, but it is still seen as a defensive position in society.

Section 2: The Child Tax

• The speaker discusses the concept of the child tax, which is a financial penalty imposed on parents who have children.
• The speaker notes that the child tax is seen as a way to discourage people from having children, as it reduces their financial resources.
• The speaker suggests that the child tax is a way to balance short-term empathy with long-term considerations, as it encourages people to think about the future of the species.
• The speaker notes that the child tax is a way to address the issue of overpopulation, as it reduces the number of children being born.
• The speaker suggests that the child tax is a way to address the issue of climate change, as it reduces the number of people who will be consuming resources in the future.

Section 3: The Mexican Fisherman Parable

• The speaker discusses the Mexican fisherman parable, which is a story about a man who goes fishing and decides to spend his time with his family instead of fishing all day.
• The speaker notes that the Mexican fisherman parable is a way to balance short-term empathy with long-term considerations, as it encourages people to think about the future of their families.
• The speaker suggests that the Mexican fisherman parable is a way to address the issue of work-life balance, as it encourages people to prioritize their relationships with their families.
• The speaker notes that the Mexican fisherman parable is a way to address the issue of entrepreneurship, as it encourages people to think about the long-term success of their businesses.
• The speaker suggests that the Mexican fisherman parable is a way to address the issue of sustainability, as it encourages people to think about the long-term impact of their actions on the environment.

Section 4: Reasons for Not Having Children

• The speaker discusses the reasons why people are not having children, including economic factors such as the cost of housing and the difficulty of balancing work and family life.
• The speaker notes that governments have a role to play in addressing these issues, by building affordable housing and providing support for families.
• The speaker suggests that the intergenerational competition theory is a way to address the issue of population growth, as it encourages people to think about the long-term impact of their actions on future generations.
• The speaker notes that the Millennials are the first generation to have done worse than their parents, which is a concern for the future of the species.
• The speaker suggests that the child tax is a way to address the issue of population growth, as it encourages people to think about the long-term impact of their actions on future generations.

Challenges for Millennials

• Difficulty in getting on the property ladder
• The most common living arrangement for men under 35 is still at home with their parents
• Intergenerational competitive and dissatisfaction
• Parents suffered high taxation in the postwar period
• Millennials and Gen Z think their parents had it easy

Agreeing on the Truth

• People can't agree on what has happened
• Deranging years since the first conversation
• Global pandemic is a contentious issue
• Nobody agrees who won an election in America
• Social media has changed the way we communicate and learn

Mononarrative Era

• Massively worse than the era of a mononarrative if it ever existed
• News is coming at us at such a pace
• The concept of Truth as a desirable thing in society has eroded

The Importance of Truth

• Douglas Murray believes that people should approach predictions with humility, as things can happen that are unexpected.
• He discusses the idea of demographics being destiny and how it can be predicted with ease.
• Murray mentions the Victoria's Secret controversy over their new strategy of using hot women to model their underwear and how it makes commercial sense.
• He talks about the body positivity movement and how it can go wrong when it celebrates morbidly obese individuals.

The Danger of Lying

• Murray believes that living in lies is dangerous for an individual and society.
• He thinks that people have different opinions on things they don't agree on and different facts, but they don't agree that following truth is worth it.
• Murray thinks that people prioritize other things over truth, such as dogma and ideology.
• He thinks that people who don't believe in truth have a religious ideology, rather than a rational belief.

The Importance of Rationality

• Murray thinks that people should prioritize truth over all things if they can and try to.
• He thinks that finding out what is true and what is not is important.
• Murray thinks that people who don't believe in truth have a religious ideology, rather than a rational belief.
• He thinks that people who don't believe in truth have a lack of interest in their views because they can't defend them.

The Collapse of Grand Narratives

• Murray thinks that the collapse of grand narratives, such as religion, is a big change in society.
• He thinks that religion is a philosophy for the masses, and without it, people lose the overarching framework of their lives.
• Murray thinks that people replace religion with other things, such as the religion of the body, negativity movement, trans, gender, and race.
• He thinks that these new religions are dogmatic and have their own founding texts.

Section 1: The Old Priesthood

• Douglas Murray discusses his thoughts on the current state of the world and his predictive abilities.
• He believes that people should approach predictions with humility, as things can happen that are unexpected.
• Murray discusses the idea of demographics being destiny and how it can be predicted with ease.
• He mentions the Victoria's Secret controversy over their new strategy of using hot women to model their underwear.
• Murray talks about the body positivity movement and how it can go wrong when it celebrates morbidly obese individuals.

Watch the video on YouTube:
“We Need To Stop Listening To These People” - Douglas Murray (4K) - YouTube